Friday, May 1, 2015

Yunfan Zhu Blog 8: Opportunities and Risks


G.K Chesterton is arguably one of the best and most underrated British writer after Charles Dickens. What makes him so exceptional, in my opinion is his view on paradox. He believes the rule of universe is in fact paradoxical. The example he gave to explain this abnormal take on the universe is: if a solider at war wants to survive, he must first forget the notion of survival, he mustn’t afraid to die.
And that is my take on opportunities and risks when it comes to starting a venture or become an entrepreneur. It is paradoxical, you can’t have opportunities without risks and you can’t have risks without spotting one or two opportunities. Which reaffirms the quote we saw in class that
”One of the greatest myths about entrepreneurs is that they are risk seekers. All sane people want to avoid risk.”
Both risks and opportunities have much to do with the fact that life is full of uncertainties. It is human nature to wonder, speculate, predict and almost inevitably gamble on such uncertainties. Entrepreneurs know that and they’ve been doing great things in using technology to predict such uncertainties like data analytics and machine learning technologies. Like we’ve discussed in class opportunities can be explored and risks can be mitigated. Although what’s interesting is the acknowledgement of you can’t get rid of risks.
This article https://hbr.org/2012/06/managing-risks-a-new-framework in Harvard Business Review talks about the framework of managing risks. It addresses “Risk management is painful—not a natural act for humans to perform.” It explains the reason behind such fact is because risks have much to do with chances and “we tend to be overconfident about the accuracy of our forecasts and risk assessments and far too narrow in our assessment of the range of outcomes that may occur”.

There are many risks when it comes to iCraftPath for example there is a disruptive energy within the local community. Community leaders from different craft fairs are very hostile against each other, ignoring the fact they are not only competitors but also partners at the same time. Such phenomenal may undercut iCraftPath’s effort in creating a community based educational resources. Nevertheless it is also an opportunity for iCraftPath to organize distanced community leaders, unite forces and reach the real potential of the crafting market in the city of Pittsburgh. To mitigate this risk and to turn it into an opportunity iCraftPath needs a facilitator (this would be both a people need and a market need), a liaison who can have a peaceful discussion with all craft community leaders. So what do you think about the theory of risks being opportunities and opportunities will bring risks? That they are essentially inseparable?  

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