Friday, May 1, 2015

Blog # 8 Identifying risks

It is now quite clearly understood that entrepreneurship is not necessarily risky. What is risky is not planning for the risks that one might encounter through the journey. Indeed, we cannot plan for everything that might happen, but it does seem a good idea to understand what risks our venture can encounter and how to mitigate or overcome those risks.

My research led to Cayenne Consulting. http://www.caycon.com/
Their mission, as their founder states, is ““To help entrepreneurs get their act together before they talk to investors.”

What I really liked was the founder Mr. Akira Hira’s article – “What Kills Startups”. 

The paper talks about Risk and Reward and offers entrepreneurs a framework to manage risk. According to him, risk can exist in any situation where there is a possibility of an outcome that we would rather avoid. This clearly implies that almost every day to day situation can carry risk. So, as in life, in business too it is simply not prudent to worry about every single risk. So one of the first things an entrepreneur can do is classify risk into categories –

  •  Ignorable Risks (Quadrant A)
  •  Nuisance Risks (Quadrant B)
  •  Insurable Risks (Quadrant C)
  • Company Killers (Quadrant D)


It would be good to note how Mr. Hira has given risks 2 dimensions – Consequences and Likelihood. Quite naturally, the risks that have higher consequences and a higher likelihood should demand our attention the most.
The quadrant also lets us answer the question – Does the benefit of mitigating a risk outweigh the cost of doing so? For me, this is most critical in identifying risks that can be tackled fastest, easiest and simplest. Basically the low hanging fruit needs to be gathered first.

Going further, the risks in Quadrant D can generally be classified into the following - (I have also provided some of the questions I am asking my own social venture plan)

  • Market Risks – Because the product caters to a younger population, is the price of my product higher than their parents ability to purchase?
  • Competitive Risks – Because of potential government subsidies, can a competitor launch a similar product before mine?
  • Technology & Operational Risks – What if user information stored online is under threat of hacking?
  • Financial Risks – Do I have sufficient funding to scale up? What about cash flow?
  • People Risks – What if people posing as company agents defraud customers?
  •  Legal & Regulatory Risks – Does my product have higher taxes because it is a GPS based device?
  • Systemic Risks – Can people get loans/EMI to buy my product?



My question now is, is there a social risk too? Can my product overcome the mindset of teenagers who are loath to be tracked?

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